Introduction:
Unmanned aircraft — from $200 hobby quadcopters to cheap FPV strike drones and loitering munitions — have upended airspace at every level. Counter-UAS (C-UAS) programs have moved from niche police/airport tools into mainstream military procurement because cheap, massed UAS change how battles are fought, how cities are secured, and how critical infrastructure must be protected. This preface summarises the strategic implications, operational requirements, and the deep-tech directions different countries are pursuing.
- Introduction:
- Strategic Implications
- Operational Requirements
- Deep-Tech Directions
- Who’s Specializing in What
- Major Programs
- Comparative Table of Vehicle-Mounted C-UAS Programs
- Observations:
- Protected Vehicles:
- U.S. Army Fielding & Sustainment (2025–2030)
- Key Takeaways & What They Mean
- Recommendations for Planners
- Commentary: Where Armies Are Heading on Armoured C-UAS
- Buyer Categories & Cost Bands (FY25 estimates)
- Regional Outlook (by 2030)
- Competitive Landscape
- Technology Trajectory
- Risks & Constraints
- Watchlist Programs
- Notes on Capabilities That Matter
- Summary
Over the past twenty years, unmanned aircraft systems (UAS) have expanded rapidly, serving roles in intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance (ISR), and combat operations. Their small size, lightweight materials, and low flight profiles often allow them to evade traditional air defence systems, making them a serious threat to frontline troops. Vehicle-mounted counter-UAS (C-UAS) systems are becoming increasingly prominent, especially in the ongoing Russia–Ukraine conflict. For example, Norway recently delivered Cortex Typhon C-UAS systems integrated with Dingo armoured vehicles to Ukraine. This trend has accelerated global research and development (R&D) initiatives aimed at detecting, neutralising, and destroying UAS. Core areas of technological focus include electro-optical, infrared, acoustic, and radio frequency (RF) sensors, radar, electronic warfare, directed energy weapons (such as lasers and high-powered microwaves), conventional guns, and short-range air defence systems.
Strategic Implications
- Asymmetry and scale: A small investment in swarming UAS can cause disproportionate damage or disruption; defending against that threat at scale requires new doctrines and affordable defeat mechanisms.
- Layered air defence fusion: C-UAS is no longer a single product — it’s a layered capability (detect → classify → localize → defeat) that must be tightly integrated with existing air-defence and command networks.
- Civil-military overlap & legal complexity: Techniques like RF takeover, GNSS spoofing, and HPM have civil safety and legal implications (aviation safety, spectrum management, collateral electronics damage) that complicate deployment.
- Supply chains & exports: Nations that can field compact, affordable C-UAS solutions gain export leverage; conversely, reliance on foreign suppliers raises vulnerability in crisis.
Operational Requirements
- Multi-sensor detection & low false alarm rate: Radar + EO/IR + RF + acoustics fused through AI to separate birds, debris, and UAS swarms.
- Low cost-per-engagement: You cannot use a $200K missile to kill a $200 drone repeatedly — lasers, HPM, airburst shells and kinetic interceptors with low unit cost are essential.
- Mobility & power management: Vehicle mounting implies strict constraints on prime power, cooling, weight, and electromagnetic compatibility. Solutions must be modular (trailer-mounted powerpacks are common stopgaps).
- Speed & autonomy in the kill-chain: Automated detection → priority → engagement decisions reduce operator load but require robust trustable AI and clearly defined rules of engagement.
- Resilience to countermeasures: Frequency-agile EW, hardened sensors, cyber-secure C2 and anti-spoofing are mandatory.
- Logistics & environmental robustness: Systems must work in dust, rain, smoke and extreme temperatures and be maintainable in expeditionary settings.
Deep-Tech Directions
- High-Energy Lasers (HEL): point-defense with near-zero marginal cost per hit; best for clear weather and high-value asset protection. Israel and the U.S. are the most visible movers here.
- High-Power Microwaves (HPM): area-effect electronic defeat for swarms, attractive because it can disable many small airframes simultaneously. US, UK and China have active programs.
- Advanced EW & RF takeover: adaptive jamming and protocol exploitation (hijack/control instead of destroy) are effective for many commercial UAS; Israel, Russia and specialist firms lead in mature EW packages.
- AI sensor fusion and autonomy: deep learning for classification, swarm handling and automated engagement deconfliction is a fast-moving area led by US and European primes.
- Autonomous hunter/interceptor drones & nets: kinetic or capture approaches for close-in defense; growing industry work in Israel, Europe and the US.
- Kinetic, low-cost munitions: programmable airburst 30–57mm rounds, guided small rockets, and cheap interceptors are being integrated into vehicle turrets (Rheinmetall Skyranger is a prime example).
- Platform integration tech: generator and power-conditioning packages, high-capacity liquid cooling, stabilized mast and beam directors — these engineering subdomains determine whether DE and HPM can be practical on the move.
Who’s Specializing in What
- United States: sensor fusion, DE & HPM prototyping, wide R&D investments in autonomous kill-chains and force integration.
- Israel: operationalized EW, turnkey C-UAS suites and the earliest serious HEL deployments; strong export business for mobile solutions.
- China: rapid field demos, modular exportable packages, and scale-oriented production of EW/HPM prototypes.
- Russia: mass-produced soldier-portable EW and battlefield EW kits; practical focus on front-line, low-cost solutions.
- Europe (Germany, UK, France, Italy): balanced approach — mobile gun systems (e.g., 30mm Skyranger), sensor fusion, and HPM/laser trials.
- India & Japan: push for indigenous solutions — radar/EW suites, and national HEL R&D (DRDO/BEL, Mitsubishi/ATLA initiatives).
- Middle East & South Korea: strong procurement pipelines and regional export strategies, often pairing EW + tactical mobility.
Major Programs
Canada – Vehicle-Mounted C-UAS: The Canadian Armed Forces (CAF), through its Defence Capabilities Blueprint, has identified a critical gap in defending against Class 1 UAS. This requirement is particularly urgent for troops deployed under Operation REASSURANCE against Russian threats. The programme will roll out in two phases:
- Phase 1: Development of dismounted and fixed-site systems using RF and GNSS jammers.
- Phase 2: Deployment of integrated vehicle-mounted platforms with advanced sensors, including radar and EO/IR cameras.
- The project is valued at US$137 million, beginning in FY2024, with initial deliveries expected in 2025 and completion by 2027.
- In addition, the Canadian Joint Operations Command (CJOC) hosted C-UAS technology assessment trials in September–October 2022, inviting domestic and international suppliers. With participation from the Army, Navy, Air Force, and Special Operations Command, the government plans to allocate US$5 million annually (2022–2029) for development and procurement.
France – PARADE C-UAS System: In April 2022, France’s defence procurement agency (DGA) awarded a US$35 million (€33 million) contract to a consortium led by Thales and CS Group to develop the modular, multi-role PARADE C-UAS system. Six units were delivered between January–March 2024 and tested in Paris ahead of the 2024 Olympics and Rugby World Cup. The programme includes options for additional acquisitions, with the total projected budget reaching US$370 million (€350 million) over 11 years.
Germany – Puma C-UAS: Germany is upgrading its Puma Infantry Fighting Vehicles (IFVs) to the S1 standard. In June 2021, the BAAINBw awarded Rheinmetall, Krauss-Maffei Wegmann (KMW), and PSM a US$1.23 billion contract to modernise 154 IFVs, with options for 143 more by 2029. The upgrades will integrate MELLS (Multirole-capable Light Missile System), C-UAS capabilities, and secondary turret systems. At Eurosatory 2024, the Bundeswehr unveiled the Puma S1 with Dedrone’s RF-300 sensors, capable of passively detecting and classifying UAVs. In demonstrations, the system successfully tracked and neutralised a swarm of nine UAVs using the vehicle’s turret.
United Kingdom – Counter-Small UAS Programme: The UK Ministry of Defence (MoD), through ISTAR and JSENS, initiated a programme in 2017 to acquire C-UAS with Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 8, capable of targeting drones weighing 2–150 kg. A procurement tender was issued in 2021, and an initial supplier was selected, but by April 2022, the contract was cancelled due to technical issues. A new supplier is expected by 2024. The acquisition will span five years with a minimum budget of US$15 million.
United States – Army Multi-Purpose High Energy Laser (AMP-HEL): The U.S. Army’s Rapid Capabilities and Critical Technologies Office (RCCTO) awarded BlueHalo a US$45.7 million contract (with an additional US$30.2 million in options) to develop the Infantry Squad Vehicle-mounted LOCUST 20-kW class laser weapon system. The system uses AI/ML-enhanced software and optical technologies to detect, track, and destroy UAS with high-energy lasers.
- In April 2024, BlueHalo received a four-year logistics support contract covering maintenance and training, raising the total programme value to about US$60 million (2024–2029).
- Additionally, the U.S. Army plans to procure 450 C-UAS systems (semi-fixed, mounted, dismounted, and handheld) between 2024–2029 at a cost of US$1.8 billion. These systems will support homeland defence, emergency response, and military operations.
- Raytheon Technologies is also a key supplier. In April 2023, it won a US$237 million contract for KuRFS sensors and Coyote effectors. In January 2024, it secured another US$75 million deal to supply 600 Coyote 2C interceptors, which will be integrated into fixed and mobile platforms to defend against small UAVs and loitering munitions.
Pakistan – GIDS Spider-AD: The Spider-AD is Pakistan’s first locally developed mobile counter-drone system, featuring vehicle mounting and also a portable tripod variant. It was unveiled in late 2023. Designed by the Defence Science & Technology Organisation (DESTO) and produced by Global Industrial & Defence Solutions (GIDS), the Spider-AD is built on a Hino Dutro 300-series truck with an operator cabin, power generator, and jamming and detection equipment. Capabilities include radio-frequency detection, direction-finding, GPS and satellite navigation jamming — especially effective against loitering munitions and MALE UAVs — with a range exceeding 10 km.
Comparative Table of Vehicle-Mounted C-UAS Programs
Country | Program | Platform | Effector Stack | Status (2025) | Qty (public) | Contract/Budget Value | Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
USA | M-SHORAD Inc 1 | Stryker A1 (8×8) | 30mm XM914 + Stinger + EO/IR + Radar | Serial production & fielded | 28 initial; >144 planned | $1.219B base + $621M FY25 mod | Primary armored mobile SHORAD/C-UAS for US Army |
USA | DE M-SHORAD (HEL) | Stryker A1 (8×8) | ~50 kW Laser + EO/IR + Radar | Prototyping & soldier eval | 4 prototype sets (initial) | $34.5M laser module award; FY24 RDT&E ~$110M | Directed-energy variant for low-cost drone defeat |
Germany | Skyranger 30 | Boxer (8×8) | 30×173 mm gun (AHEAD) + Stinger/Mistral + sensors | Contracted; serial from ~2027 | 1 proto + 18 prod (opt +30) | €595M (incl. VAT) | Gun/missile turret optimized for C-UAS |
Austria | Skyranger 30 | Boxer (8×8) | 30×173 mm gun (AHEAD) + missiles + sensors | Contracted | 36 | ~€1.8B (press est.) | First export customer; deliveries in 2030s |
Ukraine | Skynex (2 systems) | HX protected trucks | 35mm Revolver Gun + AHEAD + radar/EO | Delivered 2024; in combat use | 2 systems (Germany funded) | €182M | High effectiveness vs Shahed/FPV reported |
UK | Drone Dome (vehicle-deployable) | Various protected trucks | Radar + EO/IR + EW (soft-kill; laser option) | Fielded in limited numbers | ~6 (initial) | £7.6M (2018 UCR) | Vehicle-portable C-UAS kit |
France | RAPIDFire (land) | Truck/8×8 mounts | 40mm CTA + A3B programmable airburst | Selected; early fielding by ~2027 | Initial batch (N/A) | N/A (land split not public) | Land & naval variants |
Russia | Pantsir-S1 | KamAZ 8×8 / tracked | Twin 30mm + 12×57E6 SAM + radar/EO | Widely fielded | >300 built (incl. exports) | ~$15–20M per unit (export est.) | Counter-UAS/PGM focus; multiple variants |
Russia | Tor-M2 | Tracked GM chassis | 9M338 SAM (16 rtf) + radar | Widely fielded | >120 in service (est.) | ~$25M per unit (export est.) | Short-range SAM; capable vs small drones |
Russia | Derivatsiya-PVO (2S38) | Tracked IFV chassis | 57mm autocannon w/ airburst | Pre-series / intro to service | Dozens (pre-series) | N/A (est. $8–10M/unit) | Gun-only C-UAS; entering service 2025 |
China | HQ-17A | Tracked (PLA) | SAM (Tor-derived) + radar | Fielded | 100+ (unconfirmed) | ~$15–20M per unit (unconfirmed) | Brigade-level VSHORAD |
China | LD-2000 (land CIWS) | 8×8 truck | 30mm Gatling + PL-9 missiles | Limited service | N/A | ~$10–12M per unit (est.) | Ground CIWS; drone interception capable |
China | CS/SA5 (Norinco) | VN1 / export chassis | 35mm gun + missiles + sensors | Prototypes / exports | N/A | N/A | Marketed as C-UAS/VSHORAD turret |
Denmark | Skyranger 30 (Denmark) | Wheeled armoured vehicle | 30mm airburst + sensors | Contract for 16 turrets (2024) | Low three-digit million € (approx €100–300M) | Rheinmetall confirmed Denmark contract value in “low three-digit million euros” range | |
Israel | Rafael mobile Drone-Dome / Iron Beam demos | 4×4 Plasan StormRider / trailers | RF jamming, EO/IR, optional laser, kinetic backup | Demonstrations & export offers; Iron Beam deployment expected 2025 | Not publicly disclosed (Programme in 100s of M$ overall, no per-vehicle figure) | Rafael Drone-Dome export customers exist; Iron Beam overall investments reported | |
Israel (NATO) | Elbit ReDrone vehicle variants | Armoured/wheeled tactical vehicles | RF jamming/takeover, EO/IR, interceptor drones | ~$60M contract awards 2024–25; deliveries ongoing | ~$60M (NATO contract) | Elbit reported ~$60M NATO European country contract for ReDrone | |
Canada | C-UAS Phase 2 (mounted variants) | Various armoured/wheeled platforms (integration planned) | Radar + EO/IR + RF defeat packages | Phase 2 contracts awarded Jul 7, 2025 | CAD 169.2M (reported) | Canadian DND Phase 2 awards reported CAD 169.2M total | |
UK | Thales RapidDestroyer (vehicle/sea trials) | Land vehicles & ships (modular demos) | High-Power Microwave (HPM) demonstrator | Successful trials 2024-25; prototype stage | Not disclosed (demonstrator/trials only) | UK MoD/Thales RapidDestroyer demo; no published price | |
China | NORINCO / CETC modular C-UAS (vehicle demos) | Armoured trucks, trailers | HPM, EW, lasers demos | Displayed at airshows; export-oriented prototypes | Not disclosed (Chinese demo programmes) | Chinese demo systems; domestic procurement not transparent | |
India | BEL D4 mounted variants | Tactical vehicles & trailers | Radar, EO/IR, RF jamming, laser option (short-range) | In service / demonstrations; export interest | Not disclosed (BEL, export interest noted) | BEL D4 shown at Aero India; no contract values public | |
Pakistan | Vehicle Mounted C-UAS | Hino Dutro truck | RF Detection + GPS/Comms Jamming > 10 km | Displayed 23-24 | Not Disclosed |
Observations:
- Russia & China rely on SHORAD vehicles (Tor, Pantsir, HQ-17, LD-2000) that naturally double as C-UAS systems due to radar + gun/missile mixes.
- Russia’s new Derivatsiya-PVO (57 mm) is closest to Western Skyranger 30 / RAPIDFire, a pure gun-based vehicle system against drones.
- Budget Transparency Gap: Unlike NATO programs (Germany/US/UK) with published multi-hundred-million contracts, Russian & Chinese budgets are opaque. Open sources only give unit export values, not domestic program totals.
Protected Vehicles:
- USA Stryker (M-SHORAD & DE M-SHORAD): Largest budgeted armored C-UAS effort, over $1.8B+ already committed.
- Germany/Austria Skyranger 30: Most advanced gun/missile turret for 8×8; combined orders >€2.3B.
- Ukraine Skynex: Proven in combat, funded by Germany (€182M).
- UK Drone Dome: Smaller soft-kill system, but vehicle-portable.
- France RAPIDFire: Gun-based, but budgets opaque.
This way, the “driver” isn’t just “Germany bought Skyranger” but a systemic trend: European pooled rearmament, NATO standardization, 8×8 platform convergence, and a new SHORAD ecosystem. U.S. layered C-UAS programs, Asia-Pacific missile defense push, Middle East oil infrastructure defense, Directed Energy maturation, etc.
U.S. Army Fielding & Sustainment (2025–2030)
Core Program – M-SHORAD on Stryker: The Maneuver SHORAD (M-SHORAD) fills a long-standing U.S. Army gap in mobile protection for brigade combat teams. The baseline increment (with 30mm cannon, Stinger, Hellfire/Longbow missiles, and onboard radar) is now in serial fielding across Stryker brigades. The June 2025 $621M modification keeps both production lines and sustainment contracts active, signaling continued fleet expansion and mid-life upgrades.
HEL (High-Energy Laser) Parallel Track: The Directed Energy M-SHORAD (DE M-SHORAD) integrates a 50 kW-class laser for counter-UAS and rocket/artillery/mortar defense. Early prototypes have been delivered; by late-2020s, expect mixed battalion deployments (kinetic + laser variants). This “hybridization” reduces missile expenditure against cheap drones — a cost-per-shot advantage that resonates strongly in Pentagon wargaming.
Sustainment & Upgrade Path: Multi-billion-dollar sustainment pipeline is emerging: spares, depot-level maintenance, radar/software upgrades. Likely incremental improvements include:
- Improved sensors (360° AESA radar, EO/IR).
- Networking into IBCS (Integrated Battle Command System) for joint fires.
- Missile diversification (Stinger replacement, Coyote interceptors).
Strategic Drivers: Russia/China threat models: peer adversary drones, helicopters, cruise missiles. Urban / Forward-Operating protection: lessons from Ukraine and CENTCOM bases. C-UAS imperative: drone swarm scenarios demand a mix of missile, gun, and laser solutions.
Budgetary Confidence: FY2025–2030 Army POM (Program Objective Memorandum) reflects stable SHORAD funding, unlike legacy cuts to Avenger or Patriot. U.S. tends to “buy in depth” once a fleet is adopted — the $621M 2025 mod is a signal of long-term industrial base commitment. Likely additional buys for National Guard units and export sales via FMS (Eastern Europe, Taiwan, Gulf).
Industrial Base & Exports: General Dynamics (Stryker) + Leonardo DRS/Rheinmetall (turret/weapon mix) form the core. Successful fielding positions M-SHORAD as a benchmark NATO solution — allies buying Strykers (e.g., Greece, Taiwan, North Macedonia) may adopt it for fleet commonality. HEL variant export prospects depend on U.S. tech release policy but could become a strategic export carrot for high-trust allies.
By 2030: Expect ~200–250 M-SHORADs in U.S. Army service, with HEL-equipped battalions operational. The U.S. Army will be the first major force to field mobile laser SHORAD at scale, setting doctrinal precedent.
Key Takeaways & What They Mean
- Ammo, not platforms, is the bottleneck. What Ukraine shows us is clear: endurance in air defence isn’t just about the guns, it’s about the ammunition behind them. Systems like Skynex can fire at a very high rate, but their staying power depends entirely on how fast rounds can be supplied. That’s why planners now calculate rounds per day as a core metric for SHORAD and C-UAS missions. This pushes governments to stockpile, boost production, and invest in protected supply chains.
- Buying shifts from shiny prototypes to volume + sustainment. It’s no longer enough to buy a handful of systems as showpieces. Truck- or container-mounted guns have proven their worth in combat, and now contracts are written with long-term support in mind: ammunition, spare parts, and logistic sustainment lines baked in for years ahead.
- The new CONOPS: mobile, decentralized defence hubs. Instead of big, static sites, doctrine is moving toward truck- and armored-mounted platforms that move with brigades and supply nodes. Think of them as local air-defence “cells” — autonomous enough to fight on their own but also able to hand off targets to higher-level sensors. This shift changes how sensors are placed, how communications are structured, and even how rules of engagement are written.
- Cost-per-kill drives a layered mix of weapons. Guns with programmable airburst are perfect for swarms of cheap drones — but they burn through ammo fast. That’s why forces are pushing for hybrid fleets: guns for mass targets, missiles for high-value threats, and lasers for the lowest-cost intercepts. Procurement is starting to reflect this balance.
- Programmable rounds (AHEAD) are the new gold. Demand for programmable airburst rounds is spiking, but supply is limited. Production bottlenecks are turning ammunition itself into a chokepoint. This is already forcing nations to explore co-production deals and stockpile-sharing agreements. In the future, expect export contracts to include ammunition guarantees as part of the package.
- Modular, palletized designs are winning. Skynex’s success on trucks and palletized hooklift platforms proves it: militaries want modular effectors that can mount quickly on common vehicles and 8×8 fleets. The quicker the integration, the better. Procurement is now leaning toward modularity as a way to simplify logistics and accelerate deployment.
- Industry must scale ammo production. Governments will step in to underwrite domestic production lines for propellant, fuzes, and programmable electronics. Expect to see remanufacturing and retrofitting so that existing guns can fire programmable rounds. Companies will increasingly pitch “gun + ammo bundles” to reduce friction for customers.
- Training and sensor networks are as critical as firepower. High-fire systems mean higher crew demands. Armies will need new training cycles, remote or semi-autonomous modes to reduce operator fatigue, and tighter radar/EO/IR links with C2 networks. Going forward, contracts will almost always include sensor and battle-management packages, not just the guns themselves.
- Ripple effects on exports and doctrine. The lessons from Ukraine are spreading fast. States in the Middle East, Africa, and Southeast Asia — all facing drone saturation threats — are accelerating buys of truck-mounted gun systems with guaranteed ammunition pipelines. Vendors who can bundle ammo supply will have the edge.
Recommendations for Planners
- Treat ammo throughput (rounds per day, resupply resilience) as a top performance metric.
- Prioritize modular/palletized systems to speed deployment and align with existing fleets.
- Negotiate long-term ammo supply or co-production into contracts to avoid future shortages.
- Budget for hybrid fleets (guns + missiles + lasers) and ensure battle management/C2 systems are integrated from day one.
Commentary: Where Armies Are Heading on Armoured C-UAS
- Europe is moving to scale. Serial orders for Rheinmetall’s Skyranger 30 — Germany’s €595M buy of 19 systems with options for 30 more, and Denmark signalling its intent to join — show that the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) is now translating into concrete multi-nation fleets on Boxer and Piranha 5 platforms. This isn’t just a prototype stage anymore; it’s coordinated rearmament.
- The U.S. Army is doubling down on Stryker-based SHORAD. M-SHORAD remains the backbone of America’s armored C-UAS effort, with a fresh $621M sustainment and production contract extension keeping lines hot into 2025. At the same time, the laser-equipped variant is maturing in parallel — meaning the U.S. is quietly preparing for a hybrid gun-missile-laser fleet.
- Lessons from Ukraine are rewriting doctrine. Combat has proven how quickly programmable airburst ammunition is consumed, and how vital it is to have truck- or armor-mounted guns that can deploy fast with maneuver forces. Ukraine’s use of Skynex shows that logistics and reload rates are now as decisive as the weapons themselves.
- The threat itself is shifting. Cheap FPV drones, loitering munitions, and swarms are forcing armies to rethink force design. The answer is not a single weapon, but layered hybrids: guns with airburst for saturation, missiles for high-value targets, electronic warfare for disruption, and lasers as the long-term economy-of-shot solution.
Buyer Categories & Cost Bands (FY25 estimates)
- Gun/EW turrets on 8×8s (Skyranger 30, RAPIDFire-land): around $20–40M per vehicle, including vehicle, turret, sensors, and C2/IFF, depending on missile fit.
- Missile-centric SHORAD (U.S. M-SHORAD on Stryker): costs remain program-dependent, but recent U.S. awards point to high through-life costs at battalion scale.
- Directed-energy add-ons (HEL/HPM): still in RDT&E, with per-unit costs expected to fall only late in the decade as production ramps up.
Regional Outlook (by 2030)
- Europe (40–45%): German, Danish, Austrian, and Nordic/CEE investments dominate under ESSI coordination.
- North America (25–30%): U.S. spending on M-SHORAD and HEL transitions leads.
- APAC (15–20%): China, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, and India quietly scaling mobile air defence, though transparency varies.
- Middle East & Others (10–15%): demand shifts from fixed-site defence toward maneuver-capable C-UAS for formations.
Competitive Landscape
- Turrets (guns/missiles): Rheinmetall/Oerlikon (Skyranger 30), Thales/CTA (RAPIDFire-land).
- Platforms: GDLS (M-SHORAD/Stryker), KMW/ARTEC (Boxer), GDELS (Piranha 5).
- Sensors & C2/soft-kill: Thales, Leonardo, IAI/Elta, Rafael, Hensoldt.
- Directed energy: U.S. primes and suppliers expected to move from prototypes into limited production before 2030.
Technology Trajectory
- Now–2027: The standard package is guns with programmable 30–40 mm rounds, paired with man-portable missiles (Stinger/Mistral), AESA radars, EO sensors, and vehicle-mounted EW.
- 2027–2030: First HEL/HPM increments arrive on armored fleets, but still hybridized with kinetic effectors due to weather and rules-of-engagement constraints.
Risks & Constraints
- Ammo economics: Programmable rounds are effective but expensive — Ukraine shows how stockpiles and reload chains can dictate operational tempo.
- Industrial bottlenecks: Production of turrets, sensors, and especially ammunition remains multi-year to scale.
- Counter-countermeasures: Low-RCS drones, decoys, and EW resistance will undermine single-mode systems, forcing multi-sensor/multi-effector stacks.
Watchlist Programs
- Skyranger 30 on Boxer/Piranha 5: German deliveries expected 2027–28; Denmark moving forward under a Letter of Intent.
- U.S. M-SHORAD: $621M contract extension through 2025, with decisions pending on HEL transition.
Notes on Capabilities That Matter
- Gun ABM rounds (AHEAD/ATOM) are central to hard-kill vs Group-1/2 drones on these turrets (Skyranger-30/35, KORKUT, Gepard).
- Missile overlays vary: Stinger (M-SHORAD, some Skyranger configs), Mistral 3 (Austria/Denmark), Chiron (K30 Biho), 57E6 (Pantsir).
- Directed energy on armour: U.S. DE-M-SHORAD (≈50 kW) is the most mature prototype path; 4 Strykers were deployed OCONUS in Feb 2024 for operational feedback.
Summary
Vehicle-mounted C-UAS programs are now a core part of modern force architectures: they must be affordable at scale, integrated into layered air defence, resilient to countermeasures, and logistically supportable. The technology race spans hardware (lasers, microwaves, guns), software (AI fusion/autonomy), and systems engineering (power, cooling, modularity). Countries are choosing different mixes depending on doctrine, industrial base and threat perception — but everyone is converging on multi-layered, multi-effect solutions that can be mounted on vehicles, trailers or fixed sites.